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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Forney Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48257050204 · Kaufman, TX · pop 10,624 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Forney

Tract 48257050204 sits in Forney, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 31% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units3,338
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$78,764

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Forney
Very High
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 27 tracts In Kaufman
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#1,972 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forney and the region

Centroid at 32.7502, -96.3937 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forney scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forney
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,686 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forney
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forney
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forney
5.3

How Forney compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forney risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0502043.6Forneyparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 9.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak (2014)
  • 24Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forney

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 24 evictions over 1 years of observation. It sits 0.6 points above the Kaufman County average of 3.9.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 9.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,686, close to the Forney average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $78,764.

59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48257050204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48257050204?

Census tract 48257050204 in Forney scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48257050204?

Median gross rent is $1,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48257050204?

15.9% of residents in tract 48257050204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,624.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48257050204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 57th, minority 74th, housing 26th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48257050204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48257050204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.20% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48257050204 compare to Forney overall?

Tract 48257050204 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Forney at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forney; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Forney

Top eight tracts in Forney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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