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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Twin Creeks Eviction Risk: Lower , Mansfield

Tract 48439111306 · Tarrant, TX · pop 6,052 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 48439111306 belongs to the Twin Creeks neighborhood of Mansfield, Texas. It is home to 6,052 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #19,729 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,803 a month while the average household earns $67,391 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 21% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,368
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$67,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Twin Creeks
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Mansfield
Very High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#182 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Elevated
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#4,027 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mansfield and the region

Centroid at 32.5678, -97.1604 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twin Creeks scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mansfield
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,803 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mansfield
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mansfield
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mansfield
5.6

How Twin Creeks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Twin Creeks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 111306Mansfield: 2.12.1Mansfieldparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 607Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 14.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.6%Peak (2011)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 484391113062001: 51 filings (31.48/100 renter HHs)2002: 46 filings (28.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (13.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (10.67/100 renter HHs)2006: 44 filings (17.39/100 renter HHs)2007: 42 filings (16.60/100 renter HHs)2008: 31 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)2009: 28 filings (11.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (11.58/100 renter HHs)2011: 65 filings (23.55/100 renter HHs)2012: 33 filings (11.96/100 renter HHs)2013: 48 filings (17.39/100 renter HHs)2014: 40 filings (14.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 30 filings (10.87/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2017: 25 filings (6.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 17 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 577Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.02×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2020-02-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-12-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-02-01: 20 filings (13.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 13 filings (2.17× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-11-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 12 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-02-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (4.80× baseline)2023-04-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-09-01: 12 filings (1.85× baseline)2023-10-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 14 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 14 filings (5.60× baseline)2024-04-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-06-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-08-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-09-01: 16 filings (2.46× baseline)2024-10-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2024-11-01: 13 filings (5.20× baseline)2024-12-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2025-03-01: 14 filings (5.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 14 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 12 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 15 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (2.36× baseline)2025-09-01: 13 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-12-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Twin Creeks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twin Creeks

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Tarrant County average of 5.1 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.02x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439111306

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439111306?

Census tract 48439111306 in the Twin Creeks neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439111306?

Median gross rent is $1,803/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439111306?

16.9% of residents in tract 48439111306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,052.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439111306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 56th, minority 70th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 48439111306 considered part of Twin Creeks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439111306 fall within Twin Creeks (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439111306?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 607 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439111306 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.96% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48439111306 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48439111306 compare to Mansfield overall?

Tract 48439111306 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mansfield at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mansfield

Top eight tracts in Mansfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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