Willow View Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 27.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 37% against 29.2% citywide, putting Willow View 7.3% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.

On the high side is supply constraint at 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $2,226, 18% above the Draper average of $1,894.

Filings are well documented here: 87 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 3.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.2% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #3 of 5 neighborhoods in Draper.

At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Potawatomi and Allen. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.