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Hinesburg, Vermont eviction risk overview
City brief · 733 residents

Hinesburg, VT Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Chittenden County · Population 733

In 2026
Risk score
5.1
MODERATE

84th percentile, Vermont.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.6 Now5.1
6.2 2.3 1976 · score 2.5 1977 · score 2.4 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 2.4 1981 · score 2.4 1982 · score 2.5 1983 · score 2.4 1984 · score 2.4 1985 · score 2.3 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.7 1988 · score 2.6 1989 · score 2.7 1990 · score 2.8 1991 · score 2.9 1992 · score 3.0 1993 · score 3.0 1994 · score 3.0 1995 · score 3.0 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.3 1999 · score 3.3 2000 · score 3.3 2001 · score 3.3 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.4 2005 · score 3.4 2006 · score 3.4 2007 · score 3.5 2008 · score 4.2 2009 · score 4.4 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.5 2012 · score 4.4 2013 · score 4.4 2014 · score 4.4 2015 · score 4.4 2016 · score 4.4 2017 · score 4.4 2018 · score 4.3 2019 · score 4.3 2020 · score 6.0 2021 · score 6.2 2022 · score 5.3 2023 · score 4.9 2024 · score 5.1 2025 · score 5.1 2026 · score 5.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.0 Regional 8.0 State 4.6 Economic 6.7 Supply 9.1 Rent Control 8.8 Eviction 4.3 Tenant 9.8 Housing 7.9 5.1 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +53.6% (2024)
    8.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.0
  3. State political climate
    Vermont legislature & governorship
    4.6
  4. Economic stress
    15.8% poverty · 4.7% unemp.
    6.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,650 average · 70.7% renters
    9.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    36.0% of income on rent
    8.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    85 days filing → judgment
    4.3
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    70.7% renters
    9.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hinesburg and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Hinesburg compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Chittenden County
High
#6 of 21 cities
Rank in county, 75th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 21 cities in Chittenden County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Vermont
High
#37 of 180 cities
Rank in state, 80th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 180 cities in Vermont for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Hinesburg risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Hinesburg: 5.15.1HinesburgThis cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.1
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.1/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 85d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,650/mo. A contested eviction takes 85 days and costs $4,560–$9,753 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 70.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 733 residents, 70.7% rent. 36% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 15.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8 and 8 (Dem margin +53.6% (2024)). State climate at 4.6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.3, housing court bias 7.9, rent-control risk 8.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.7. Supply constraint: 9.1. The numbers behind those: 15.8% poverty, 4.7% unemployment, 36% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Hinesburg sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Lowell, MA · 198d · ~$19.9k all-in ($101/day) · score 6.1 Lowell Manchester, NH · 57d · ~$4.6k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.7 Manchester Albany, NY · 431d · ~$28.5k all-in ($66/day) · score 9.8 Albany Nashua, NH · 62d · ~$4.7k all-in ($76/day) · score 3.8 Nashua Lawrence, MA · 188d · ~$17.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Lawrence Schenectady, NY · 420d · ~$26.0k all-in ($62/day) · score 8.7 Schenectady Haverhill, MA · 186d · ~$22.5k all-in ($121/day) · score 5.9 Haverhill Utica, NY · 406d · ~$30.3k all-in ($75/day) · score 8.1 Utica Methuen, MA · 205d · ~$19.1k all-in ($93/day) · score 6 Methuen Troy, NY · 426d · ~$27.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 8.5 Troy Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Hinesburg
Hinesburg · 85d · ~$7.2k all-in ($84/day) · score 5.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Hinesburg, VT

Landlording in Hinesburg, Vermont, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Hinesburg is a city of 733 residents where 70.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 36.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,650/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Hinesburg eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.3/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Hinesburg closes 85 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Hinesburg's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Hinesburg runs $4,560 to $9,753 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 85 days of typical timeline and $1,650/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.8/10 in Hinesburg, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Vermont, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Hinesburg: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Vermont's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $9,753 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Hinesburg

Trap · 15.8%
Local poverty rate is 15.8%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward higher volume in Chittenden County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 8.8/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the majority-renter neighborhoods.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Hinesburg evictions?

The biggest mistake is improper notice. Either serving the wrong type of notice, not giving enough days, or failing to serve it correctly. Vermont courts are strict on this. A faulty notice means your case gets dismissed, and you have to start all over, losing more time and money.

Q2

Can I just change the locks if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. That's an illegal "self-help" eviction and can get you into serious legal trouble, including fines and damages owed to the tenant. You must follow the legal eviction process through the courts. It's slow, but it's the only legal way.

Q3

Is it true I can't reject a tenant with a Section 8 voucher in Hinesburg?

Yes, that's true for all of Vermont. Source-of-income is a protected class statewide. You cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or other rental assistance. You can, however, still apply your normal screening criteria (credit score, criminal background, landlord references) as long as they are applied consistently to all applicants.

Q4

How much notice do I need to give for a non-renewal of a lease in Hinesburg?

For a month-to-month tenancy, you generally need to give 60 days' notice for a no-cause termination. If you have a fixed-term lease, it typically ends on its own terms unless specified otherwise, but it's always wise to send a reminder notice a couple of months before the lease expires.

Q5

Should I offer "cash for keys" even if I know I have a strong eviction case?

Often, yes. Even a strong case will take time (85 days is typical here) and cost money ($4,560, $9,753). Offering a tenant $500-$1,000 to leave voluntarily and cleanly can be significantly cheaper and faster than a full eviction. It's a business decision to minimize losses, not a sign of weakness.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.1/10 places Hinesburg in the 84th percentile of Vermont cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.