Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Ashton Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013101900 · Arlington County, VA · pop 2,875 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 51013101900 sits in the Ashton Heights area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 2,875. The voucher gap is 37.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,234
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$184,279
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8779, -77.0980 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashton Heights scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,180 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Ashton Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.2%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.5%Housing insecurity
- 2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.2%Food insecurity
- 2.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashton Heights
Average gross rent is $3,180, 37% above the Arlington average. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 2.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 4.5% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 filings here across 1 tracked years. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 0.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013101900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101900?
Census tract 51013101900 in the Ashton Heights neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013101900?
Median gross rent is $3,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101900?
5.2% of residents in tract 51013101900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,875.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 3th, minority 26th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 51013101900 considered part of Ashton Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101900 fall within Ashton Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.23% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013101900 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013101900 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013101900 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Addison Heights
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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