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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Ashton Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,875 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Ashton Heights is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 2,875 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. The voucher gap is 37.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $3,180 a month, rents sit 37% over what the rest of Arlington commands. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

On the high side is supply constraint at 8.7/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in three against 26.5% citywide, putting Ashton Heights 8.3% over its own city. Disability prevalence reaches 17.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Court records for this tract carry 1 eviction filings. 4.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 0.2% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. That places it #20 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.

Judgments average 0.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Green Valley and Lynhaven score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ashton Heights vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.8% +31%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$3,180 +37%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$184,279 +31%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
5.2% -27%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
32.3% -45%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashton Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Ashton Heights scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Risk score comparison

Ashton Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ashton Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ashton Heights: 5.55.5Ashton HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ashton Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013101900 5.5 2,875 35% $3,180
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ashton Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 0.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 0.23%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashton Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ashton Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ashton Heights?

Ashton Heights scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ashton Heights compare to Arlington overall?

Ashton Heights scores 0.5 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $3,180 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ashton Heights?

Average gross rent in Ashton Heights is $3,180/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ashton Heights residents are renters?

32% of Ashton Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 2,875 residents.
Q5

Is Ashton Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Ashton Heights sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ashton Heights for landlords?

Ashton Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ashton Heights?

Ashton Heights has 2,910 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6%), Hispanic / Latino (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ashton Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ashton Heights.

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