Aurora Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013103700 · Arlington County, VA · pop 2,493 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51013103700 covers part of the Aurora Hills area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,493. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8500, -77.0628 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aurora Hills scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Aurora Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.5%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 11.3%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Aurora Hills
At $3,501 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Arlington commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 2.9% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 filings here across 1 tracked years. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Arlington County average of 38.9%.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 0.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51013103700
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103700?
What is the average rent in tract 51013103700?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103700?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103700?
Is tract 51013103700 considered part of Aurora Hills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103700?
What share of households in tract 51013103700 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013103700 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.