1 census tracts · pop 2,493 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.5–5.5
Aurora Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA, population 2,493. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $3,501, 51% above the Arlington average of $2,322.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.2/10.
Against a Arlington baseline of 26.5%, 35% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 4.5% of adults, 13.3 points below the national rate.
The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 0.9% of renter households.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Aurora Hills vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport7%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Aurora Hills
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1Total filings (sum)
0.88%Avg annual filing rate
0.9%Peak year (2016)
0.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Aurora Hills
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
4.6%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility shutoff threat
4.5%Food insecurity
2.9%SNAP enrollment
4.3%No health insurance
20.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Aurora Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Aurora Hills?
Aurora Hills scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Aurora Hills compare to Arlington overall?
Aurora Hills scores 0.5 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Aurora Hills?
Average gross rent in Aurora Hills is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Aurora Hills residents are renters?
13% of Aurora Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 2,493 residents.
Q5
Is Aurora Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Aurora Hills sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Aurora Hills for landlords?
Aurora Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Aurora Hills?
Aurora Hills has 2,511 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.9%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
