Green Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013103100 · Arlington County, VA · pop 5,713 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51013103100 covers part of the Green Valley area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,713. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8511, -77.0830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Valley scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Green Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 1 yrs
- 11.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.7%Peak (2016)
- 151Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Green Valley
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 151 filings here across 1 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 11.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 36% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51013103100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103100?
What is the average rent in tract 51013103100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103100?
Is tract 51013103100 considered part of Green Valley?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103100?
What share of households in tract 51013103100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013103100 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.