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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Green Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,713 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Green Valley is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 5,713 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Arlington rate of 26.5%. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records for this tract carry 151 eviction filings.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 11.7% of renter households. That places it #20 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.

Judgments average 1.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Lynhaven and Aurora Hills score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $142,959, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,235, close to the Arlington average.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Green Valley vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.5% +34%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,235 -4%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$142,959 +2%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
5.7% -20%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
47.2% -20%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Green Valley scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
5.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Green Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Green Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Green Valley: 5.55.5Green ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Green Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013103100 5.5 5,713 36% $2,235
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Green Valley

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings (sum)
  • 11.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 11.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Green Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Green Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Green Valley?

Green Valley scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Green Valley compare to Arlington overall?

Green Valley scores 0.5 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,235 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Green Valley?

Average gross rent in Green Valley is $2,235/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Green Valley residents are renters?

47% of Green Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 5,713 residents.
Q5

Is Green Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Green Valley sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Green Valley for landlords?

Green Valley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Green Valley?

Green Valley has 5,667 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.4%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Green Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Green Valley.

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