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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

North Highland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

Tract 51013101705 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,366 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

51013101705 is a census tract in the North Highland area of Arlington, VA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,366. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 37% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,126
Renter share67.0%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$121,204

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In North Highland
Moderate
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 71 tracts In Arlington
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8928, -77.0756 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Highland scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,729 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How North Highland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Highland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 101705Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Highland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Highland

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Disability prevalence runs 18.2% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,729, 18% above the Arlington average.

Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101705?

Census tract 51013101705 in the North Highland neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101705?

Median gross rent is $2,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101705?

10.7% of residents in tract 51013101705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,366.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 6th, minority 57th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101705 considered part of North Highland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101705 fall within North Highland (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51013101705 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51013101705 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101705 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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