Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
North Highland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington
Tract 51013101705 ·
Arlington County, VA · pop 3,366 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
51013101705 is a census tract in the North Highland area of Arlington, VA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,366. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%Stable renters 37%Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,126
Renter share67.0%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$121,204
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#4 of 7 tracts In North Highland
Moderate
Within parent city
76th percentile
#18 of 71 tracts In Arlington
High
Within county
77th percentile
#17 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
High
Within state
96th percentile
#97 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8928, -77.0756 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Highland scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,729 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How North Highland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
18%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Highland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.3%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.2%Food insecurity
4.0%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
18.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Highland
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.2% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,729, 18% above the Arlington average.
Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013101705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101705?
Census tract 51013101705 in the North Highland neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013101705?
Median gross rent is $2,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101705?
10.7% of residents in tract 51013101705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 6th, minority 57th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 51013101705 considered part of North Highland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101705 fall within North Highland (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51013101705 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51013101705 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013101705 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.