2 census tracts · pop 6,130 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.3–6.1
Barcroft takes in 2 census tracts of Arlington, VA and houses 6,130 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 26.5% citywide, putting Barcroft 22.3% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10.
Average gross rent is $1,875, 19% below the Arlington average of $2,322. Filings are well documented here: 64 across 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 9.4% of renter households. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third.
Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Green Valley and Lynhaven score within a fraction of it.
Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Barcroft vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Barcroft
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
64Total filings (sum)
8.13%Avg annual filing rate
9.4%Peak year (2016)
8.13%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Barcroft
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.0%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
9.5%No health insurance
23.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Barcroft
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Barcroft?
Barcroft scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Barcroft compare to Arlington overall?
Barcroft scores 0.5 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,875 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Barcroft?
Average gross rent in Barcroft is $1,875/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Barcroft residents are renters?
46% of Barcroft households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 6,130 residents.
Q5
Is Barcroft a high social-vulnerability area?
Barcroft sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Barcroft have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Barcroft is census tract 51013102301 (score 6.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.1, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Barcroft for landlords?
Barcroft carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Barcroft?
Barcroft has 6,414 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.5%), Hispanic / Latino (25.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
