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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Donaldson Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,461 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Donaldson Run maps to a single census tract in Arlington, VA and houses 4,461 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

35% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Arlington rate of 26.5%. SNAP participation is 3.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

3.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #31 by risk, the lower third.

At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Boulevard Manor and Dominion Heights score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,417, close to the Arlington average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Donaldson Run vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.2% +33%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,417 +4%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$231,500 +65%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
2.8% -61%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
22.9% -61%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Donaldson Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Donaldson Run scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
2.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Donaldson Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Donaldson Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Donaldson Run: 5.35.3Donaldson RunNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Donaldson Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013100500 5.3 4,461 35% $2,417
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 34%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Donaldson Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Donaldson Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Donaldson Run?

Donaldson Run scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Donaldson Run compare to Arlington overall?

Donaldson Run scores 0.7 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,417 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Donaldson Run?

Average gross rent in Donaldson Run is $2,417/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Donaldson Run residents are renters?

23% of Donaldson Run households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 4,461 residents.
Q5

Is Donaldson Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Donaldson Run sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Donaldson Run for landlords?

Donaldson Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Donaldson Run?

Donaldson Run has 4,674 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.3%), Hispanic / Latino (12.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Donaldson Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Donaldson Run.

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