3 census tracts · pop 9,310 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10
· range 5.3–7.4
Douglas Park takes in 3 census tracts of Arlington, VA, population 9,310. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.4/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Arlington baseline of 26.5%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
This is a renter market: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.3 to 7.4, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2/10.
Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,878, 19% below the Arlington average of $2,322. Filings are well documented here: 50 across 3 observed tracts.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 7.4% of renter households. That places it #8 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.
Judgments average 0.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, North Highland and Virginia Heights score within a fraction of it.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Douglas Park vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Douglas Park
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
50Total filings (sum)
2.71%Avg annual filing rate
7.4%Peak year (2016)
2.71%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Douglas Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.0%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
12.3%No health insurance
25.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Douglas Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Douglas Park?
Douglas Park scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Douglas Park compare to Arlington overall?
Douglas Park scores 0.4 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,878 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Douglas Park?
Average gross rent in Douglas Park is $1,878/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Douglas Park residents are renters?
74% of Douglas Park households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 9,310 residents.
Q5
Is Douglas Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Douglas Park sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Douglas Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Douglas Park is census tract 51013102701 (score 7.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 7.4, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Douglas Park for landlords?
Douglas Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Douglas Park?
Douglas Park has 9,618 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (30.8%), Hispanic / Latino (25.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
