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Neighborhood · Bon Air, VA

Spring Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,851 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Spring Grove maps to a single census tract in Bon Air, VA, population 3,851. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. At $2,620 a month, rents sit 46% over what the rest of Bon Air commands.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 53.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 72 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Food insecurity affects 7.4% of adults, 10.4 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 14.8% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 17.1% in 2016 against a 14.8% peak.

Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Bon Air, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Sheffield Court and Foundry Run.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Spring Grove vs Bon Air How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
0.0% -100%
Bon Air: 28.1%
Average gross rent
$2,620 +46%
Bon Air: $1,799
Average HH income
$124,515 +28%
Bon Air: $97,620
Poverty rate
5.3% -15%
Bon Air: 6.2%
Renter share
6.1% -78%
Bon Air: 27.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Spring Grove scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
0% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Spring Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Spring Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2Spring GroveNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Spring Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100106 3.2 3,851 0% $2,620
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 28%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 7%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Spring Grove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 72Total filings (sum)
  • 10.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.8%Peak year (2014)
  • 17.07%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Spring Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Spring Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Spring Grove?

Spring Grove scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Spring Grove compare to Bon Air overall?

Spring Grove scores 0.8 points lower than Bon Air overall (4/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,620 vs $1,799.
Q3

What is the average rent in Spring Grove?

Average gross rent in Spring Grove is $2,620/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Spring Grove residents are renters?

6% of Spring Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Bon Air). The neighborhood has 3,851 residents.
Q5

Is Spring Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Spring Grove sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Spring Grove for landlords?

Spring Grove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bon Air as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Spring Grove?

Spring Grove has 3,870 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Spring Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bon Air

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Spring Grove.

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