Neighborhood · Brandermill, VA

McTyres Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,910 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.5–1.5

McTyres Cove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Brandermill with 1 census tract and a population of 6,910 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 24% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 9% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,760/month sits 1% lower than the Brandermill citywide average ($1,782).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

McTyres Cove vs Brandermill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

24.0% -16%

Brandermill: 28.5%

Average gross rent

$1,760 -1%

Brandermill: $1,782

Average HH income

$122,917 +14%

Brandermill: $107,748

Poverty rate

6.2% -19%

Brandermill: 7.7%

Renter share

7.7% -75%

Brandermill: 30.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McTyres Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.5–1.5

Why McTyres Cove scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

24% of income on rent · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Economic stress

6.2% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Risk score comparison

McTyres Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in McTyres Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51041100912	1.5	6,910	24%	$1,760

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 7%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McTyres Cove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

151Total filings (sum)
8.41%Avg annual filing rate
8.0%Peak year (2010)
9.14%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McTyres Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.3%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility shutoff threat
7.9%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
5.8%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About McTyres Cove

What is the eviction-risk score for McTyres Cove?

McTyres Cove scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does McTyres Cove compare to Brandermill overall?

McTyres Cove scores 1.8 points lower than Brandermill overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,760 vs $1,782.

What is the average rent in McTyres Cove?

Average gross rent in McTyres Cove is $1,760/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of McTyres Cove residents are renters?

8% of McTyres Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Brandermill). The neighborhood has 6,910 residents.

Is McTyres Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

McTyres Cove sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is McTyres Cove for landlords?

McTyres Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandermill as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of McTyres Cove?

McTyres Cove has 6,809 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McTyres Cove

2.1 Cameron Bay 2 tracts · pop 9,327 2.2 Brighton Green 2 tracts · pop 5,513 3.4 Hunting Creek Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,385 5.1 Drewrys Bluff 2 tracts · pop 5,232 4.8 Bensley Village 2 tracts · pop 4,736 2 Grove Place 2 tracts · pop 13,059

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandermill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McTyres Cove.

2.1 Sandy Brook 1 tracts · pop 3,945 2.2 Cameron Bay 2 tracts · pop 9,327

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