Skip to content
Neighborhood · Bon Air, VA

Brighton Green Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,513 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.4–4

Brighton Green spans 2 census tracts of Bon Air, VA and houses 5,513 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Bon Air rate of 28.1%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 24.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side is supply constraint at 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,131, 18% above the Bon Air average of $1,799. Court records carry 378 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 129.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 10.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Bon Air, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Only 26% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Spring Grove and Sheffield Court score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Brighton Green vs Bon Air How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.2% +61%
Bon Air: 28.1%
Average gross rent
$2,131 +18%
Bon Air: $1,799
Average HH income
$104,789 +7%
Bon Air: $97,620
Poverty rate
2.7% -57%
Bon Air: 6.2%
Renter share
25.5% -7%
Bon Air: 27.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brighton Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–4

Why Brighton Green scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.4–8.4 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 6.0–8.3 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–7.4 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
2.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–9.8 across tracts
7.5
Risk score comparison

Brighton Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brighton Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Brighton GreenNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Brighton Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100923 4 2,852 47% $1,765
51041100907 3.4 2,661 43% $2,524
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brighton Green

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 378Total filings (sum)
  • 40.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 129.2%Peak year (2014)
  • 10.56%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brighton Green

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brighton Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brighton Green?

Brighton Green scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brighton Green compare to Bon Air overall?

Brighton Green scores 0.3 points lower than Bon Air overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,131 vs $1,799.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brighton Green?

Average gross rent in Brighton Green is $2,131/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brighton Green residents are renters?

26% of Brighton Green households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Bon Air). The neighborhood has 5,513 residents.
Q5

Is Brighton Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Brighton Green sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brighton Green have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brighton Green is census tract 51041100923 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Brighton Green for landlords?

Brighton Green carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bon Air as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brighton Green?

Brighton Green has 6,090 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brighton Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bon Air

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brighton Green.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further