Discovery Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Floris
Tract 51059482502 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,512 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51059482502 sits in the Discovery Square neighborhood of Floris, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 48% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,659 monthly, set against $205,099 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Floris and the region
Centroid at 38.9122, -77.4140 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Square scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Discovery Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.7%Peak (2016)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Discovery Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Square
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Floris, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059482502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482502?
What is the average rent in tract 51059482502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482502?
Is tract 51059482502 considered part of Discovery Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482502?
What share of households in tract 51059482502 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059482502 compare to Floris overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Floris
Top eight tracts in Floris ranked by composite eviction-risk score.