West McLean Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $584, 83% below the McLean average. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 13 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 2.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 3% of average household income of $233,438, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.