Bayfield Station cluster Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.

SNAP participation runs 3.4% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 36 eviction filings across 4 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2011, when 1.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.3/10.

Against average income of $159,205, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.