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Neighborhood · Reston, VA

Bayfield Station cluster Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,575 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Bayfield Station cluster maps to a single census tract in Reston, VA and houses 3,575 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Reston baseline of 25.1%, 33% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 3.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 36 eviction filings.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 1.9% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.2% in 2016 against a 1.9% peak.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Reston, it ranks #8 by risk, the lower third. Against average income of $159,205, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bayfield Station cluster vs Reston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.2% +32%
Reston: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,344 +5%
Reston: $2,231
Average HH income
$159,205 +14%
Reston: $139,515
Poverty rate
1.4% -74%
Reston: 5.4%
Renter share
35.2% -11%
Reston: 39.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayfield Station cluster and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Bayfield Station cluster scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
1.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Bayfield Station cluster vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bayfield Station cluster score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bayfield Station c: 3.73.7Bayfield Station cNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bayfield Station cluster

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059482002 3.7 3,575 33% $2,344
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 15%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bayfield Station cluster

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 36Total filings (sum)
  • 1.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak year (2011)
  • 1.24%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bayfield Station cluster

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bayfield Station cluster

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bayfield Station cluster?

Bayfield Station cluster scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bayfield Station cluster compare to Reston overall?

Bayfield Station cluster scores 0.6 points lower than Reston overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,344 vs $2,231.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bayfield Station cluster?

Average gross rent in Bayfield Station cluster is $2,344/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bayfield Station cluster residents are renters?

35% of Bayfield Station cluster households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Reston). The neighborhood has 3,575 residents.
Q5

Is Bayfield Station cluster a high social-vulnerability area?

Bayfield Station cluster sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bayfield Station cluster for landlords?

Bayfield Station cluster carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Reston as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bayfield Station cluster?

Bayfield Station cluster has 3,592 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.5%), Hispanic / Latino (6.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bayfield Station cluster

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Reston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bayfield Station cluster.

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