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Neighborhood · Rose Hill, VA

Guilford Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,582 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Guilford is a 2-tract neighborhood of Rose Hill, VA, population 5,582. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Rose Hill baseline of 49.9%, 35% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 147 across 2 observed tracts. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 5.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 7.7% of renter households. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Rose Hill.

Judgments average 1.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Guilford vs Rose Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.7% -30%
Rose Hill: 49.9%
Average gross rent
$2,729 -4%
Rose Hill: $2,839
Average HH income
$199,599 +10%
Rose Hill: $180,949
Poverty rate
2.8% +47%
Rose Hill: 1.9%
Renter share
23.2% +47%
Rose Hill: 15.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Guilford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Guilford scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
2.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–9.7 across tracts
6.8
Risk score comparison

Guilford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Guilford score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Guilford: 3.03.0GuilfordNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Guilford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059422403 3 2,988 29% $3,400
51059422301 3 2,594 41% $1,956
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 14%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 15%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Guilford

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 147Total filings (sum)
  • 3.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.42%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Guilford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Guilford

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Guilford?

Guilford scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Guilford compare to Rose Hill overall?

Guilford scores 0.4 points lower than Rose Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 50% citywide. Average rent: $2,729 vs $2,839.
Q3

What is the average rent in Guilford?

Average gross rent in Guilford is $2,729/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Guilford residents are renters?

23% of Guilford households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Rose Hill). The neighborhood has 5,582 residents.
Q5

Is Guilford a high social-vulnerability area?

Guilford sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Guilford have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Guilford is census tract 51059422403 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Guilford for landlords?

Guilford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rose Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Guilford?

Guilford has 5,618 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.4%), Hispanic / Latino (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Guilford

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rose Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Guilford.

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