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Neighborhood · Franconia, VA

Oakwood Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,256 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3–3.4

Oakwood takes in 2 census tracts of Franconia, VA and houses 5,256 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs about half against 22.1% citywide, putting Oakwood 29.4% over its own city.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 25.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 121 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.4% of adults, 10.4 points below the national rate.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.8/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 7.7% of renter households. At $2,896 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Franconia commands.

Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Franconia, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Springfield Forest and Amberleigh score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Oakwood vs Franconia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.5% +133%
Franconia: 22.1%
Average gross rent
$2,896 +11%
Franconia: $2,605
Average HH income
$163,218 +7%
Franconia: $152,007
Poverty rate
0.9% -70%
Franconia: 3.0%
Renter share
31.4% +31%
Franconia: 24.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why Oakwood scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.4–8.3 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 2.6–3.1 across tracts
2.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.3 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 2.5–5.2 across tracts
3.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.8–3.2 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
0.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–9.5 across tracts
7.5
Risk score comparison

Oakwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oakwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2OakwoodNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Oakwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059420202 3.4 2,400 27% $2,342
51059420203 3 2,856 72% $3,361
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 15%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oakwood

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 121Total filings (sum)
  • 3.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.21%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oakwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oakwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oakwood?

Oakwood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oakwood compare to Franconia overall?

Oakwood scores 0.8 points lower than Franconia overall (4/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $2,896 vs $2,605.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oakwood?

Average gross rent in Oakwood is $2,896/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oakwood residents are renters?

31% of Oakwood households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Franconia). The neighborhood has 5,256 residents.
Q5

Is Oakwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Oakwood sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oakwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oakwood is census tract 51059420202 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Oakwood for landlords?

Oakwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Franconia as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oakwood?

Oakwood has 5,231 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Hispanic / Latino (12.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oakwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Franconia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oakwood.

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