Gunston Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 41% above the Mason Neck average of $2,486. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 15 evictions logged in this tract.

SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.1% of adults, 10.7 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 10.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.8% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.