1 census tracts · pop 2,535 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10
· range 6.8–6.8
Ash Grove is a one-tract neighborhood of Tysons, VA, population 2,535. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.8/10, Elevated tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Tysons rate of 25.0%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10.
Court records for this tract carry 49 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 4.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate.
The voucher gap is 12.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.6% of renter households. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Tysons, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Average gross rent runs $2,595, close to the Tysons average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $105,846. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 6.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ash Grove vs TysonsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Ash Grove
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
49Total filings (sum)
1.71%Avg annual filing rate
4.6%Peak year (2016)
4.55%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ash Grove
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.3%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
23.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Ash Grove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Ash Grove?
Ash Grove scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Ash Grove compare to Tysons overall?
Ash Grove scores 0.9 points higher than Tysons overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,595 vs $2,497.
Q3
What is the average rent in Ash Grove?
Average gross rent in Ash Grove is $2,595/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Ash Grove residents are renters?
48% of Ash Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 66% in Tysons). The neighborhood has 2,535 residents.
Q5
Is Ash Grove a high social-vulnerability area?
Ash Grove sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Ash Grove for landlords?
Ash Grove carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tysons as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Ash Grove?
Ash Grove has 2,578 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
