Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Marlo Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , West Falls Church
Tract 51059450400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,594 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 51059450400 in the Marlo Heights area of West Falls Church, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,594. Cost burden runs 24% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units930
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$191,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Falls Church and the region
Centroid at 38.8614, -77.1681 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marlo Heights scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Falls Church
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,214 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Falls Church
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Falls Church
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Falls Church
4.7
How Marlo Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2013)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marlo Heights
At $3,214 a month, rents run 56% over what the rest of West Falls Church commands. The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.4/10. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 13 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 4.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059450400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450400?
Census tract 51059450400 in the Marlo Heights neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059450400?
Median gross rent is $3,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450400?
2.0% of residents in tract 51059450400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,594.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 39th, minority 58th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51059450400 considered part of Marlo Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450400 fall within Marlo Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.08% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059450400 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059450400 compare to West Falls Church overall?
Tract 51059450400 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of West Falls Church at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Falls Church eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Falls Church
Top eight tracts in West Falls Church ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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