Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Woodley North Eviction Risk: Moderate , West Falls Church
Tract 51059450200 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,536 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 51059450200 in the Woodley North area of West Falls Church, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,536. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.4/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,385
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$125,266
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Falls Church and the region
Centroid at 38.8713, -77.1914 · click any tract to drill in
Why Woodley North scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Falls Church
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Falls Church
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Falls Church
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Falls Church
4.7
How Woodley North compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 285Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.6%Peak (2011)
- 59Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 17.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Woodley North
Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
The filing record is not thin: 285 evictions over 4 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2011 at 15.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059450200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450200?
Census tract 51059450200 in the Woodley North neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450200?
16.5% of residents in tract 51059450200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,536.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 55th, minority 73th, housing 45th.
Q4
Is tract 51059450200 considered part of Woodley North?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450200 fall within Woodley North (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.47% of renter households, peaking at 15.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059450200 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059450200 compare to West Falls Church overall?
Tract 51059450200 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of West Falls Church at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Falls Church eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Falls Church
Top eight tracts in West Falls Church ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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