Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Brook Eviction Risk: Lower , West Falls Church
Tract 51059450900 ·
Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,677 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51059450900 sits in the Valley Brook area of West Falls Church eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 1,677. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 4%Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units609
Renter share3.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$161,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Valley Brook
Moderate
Within parent city
29th percentile
#6 of 8 tracts In West Falls Church
Low
Within county
45th percentile
#151 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
45th percentile
#1,203 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Falls Church and the region
Centroid at 38.8519, -77.1847 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Brook scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from West Falls Church
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Falls Church
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Falls Church
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Falls Church
4.7
How Valley Brook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
6%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
8Total filings over 2 yrs
7.66%Avg annual filing rate
9.4%Peak (2011)
3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2011 to 2016
Filings dropped 40% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.0%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
6.6%Food insecurity
4.0%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
11.4%Frequent mental distress
21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Brook
At $3,501 a month, rents run 69% over what the rest of West Falls Church commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.0% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 9.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059450900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450900?
Census tract 51059450900 in the Valley Brook neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059450900?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450900?
2.0% of residents in tract 51059450900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,677.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 56th, minority 63th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51059450900 considered part of Valley Brook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450900 fall within Valley Brook (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51059450900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.66% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059450900 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059450900 compare to West Falls Church overall?
Tract 51059450900 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of West Falls Church at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Falls Church eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Falls Church
Top eight tracts in West Falls Church ranked by composite eviction-risk score.