Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Westlawn Eviction Risk: Lower , West Falls Church
Tract 51059450500 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,938 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 51059450500 in the Westlawn area of West Falls Church, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,938. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 17% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units851
Renter share5.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$153,274
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Falls Church and the region
Centroid at 38.8638, -77.1814 · click any tract to drill in
Why Westlawn scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Falls Church
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,962 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Falls Church
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Falls Church
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Falls Church
4.7
How Westlawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2011)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Westlawn
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 4 observed years. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $153,274, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059450500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450500?
Census tract 51059450500 in the Westlawn neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059450500?
Median gross rent is $1,962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450500?
4.4% of residents in tract 51059450500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,938.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 46th, minority 78th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 51059450500 considered part of Westlawn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450500 fall within Westlawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.39% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059450500 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059450500 compare to West Falls Church overall?
Tract 51059450500 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of West Falls Church at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Falls Church eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Falls Church
Top eight tracts in West Falls Church ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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