Edgewater Eviction Risk: Lower , Burke
Tract 51059432401 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,997 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51059432401 covers Edgewater in Burke, home to 2,997 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.
100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $211,964 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Burke and the region
Centroid at 38.7671, -77.2786 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edgewater scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Edgewater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Edgewater
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059432401
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059432401?
What is the average rent in tract 51059432401?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059432401?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059432401?
Is tract 51059432401 considered part of Edgewater?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059432401?
What share of households in tract 51059432401 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059432401 compare to Burke overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Burke
Top eight tracts in Burke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.