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Neighborhood · Burke, VA

Edgewater Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,997 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Edgewater maps to a single census tract in Burke, VA, population 2,997. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, Lower tier. Against a Burke baseline of 24.7%, 100% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $3,501 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Burke commands. SNAP participation is 3.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Court records for this tract carry 7 eviction filings. 3.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 3.9% of renter households.

Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Burke, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 1.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 3% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Edgewater vs Burke How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
100.0% +305%
Burke: 24.7%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +21%
Burke: $2,894
Average HH income
$211,964 +18%
Burke: $179,063
Poverty rate
1.2% -56%
Burke: 2.8%
Renter share
2.7% -74%
Burke: 10.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Edgewater and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Edgewater scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
100% of income on rent · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
3% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Economic stress
1.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Edgewater vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Edgewater score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4EdgewaterNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Edgewater

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059432401 3.4 2,997 100% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Edgewater

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings (sum)
  • 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 3.85%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Edgewater

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Edgewater

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Edgewater?

Edgewater scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Edgewater compare to Burke overall?

Edgewater scores 0.6 points lower than Burke overall (4/10). Renters spend 100% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,894.
Q3

What is the average rent in Edgewater?

Average gross rent in Edgewater is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Edgewater residents are renters?

3% of Edgewater households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Burke). The neighborhood has 2,997 residents.
Q5

Is Edgewater a high social-vulnerability area?

Edgewater sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Edgewater for landlords?

Edgewater carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Edgewater?

Edgewater has 2,984 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%), Hispanic / Latino (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Edgewater

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burke

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Edgewater.

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