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Neighborhood · Mechanicsville, VA

Pine Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,680 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Pine Hill maps to a single census tract in Mechanicsville, VA, population 4,680. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Mechanicsville baseline of 29.6%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 7.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,851, 7% above the Mechanicsville average of $1,724.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Mechanicsville, it ranks #7 by risk, the lower third. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $122,588, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pine Hill vs Mechanicsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.4% +50%
Mechanicsville: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,851 +7%
Mechanicsville: $1,724
Average HH income
$122,588 +26%
Mechanicsville: $97,569
Poverty rate
1.8% -66%
Mechanicsville: 5.4%
Renter share
12.1% -51%
Mechanicsville: 24.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Pine Hill scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

Pine Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pine Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Pine HillNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Pine Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51085321004 3.3 4,680 44% $1,851
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pine Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pine Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pine Hill?

Pine Hill scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pine Hill compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Pine Hill scores 0.7 points lower than Mechanicsville overall (4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,851 vs $1,724.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pine Hill?

Average gross rent in Pine Hill is $1,851/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pine Hill residents are renters?

12% of Pine Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Mechanicsville). The neighborhood has 4,680 residents.
Q5

Is Pine Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Pine Hill sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Pine Hill for landlords?

Pine Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mechanicsville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Pine Hill?

Pine Hill has 4,528 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.3%), Other / Multiracial (11.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pine Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mechanicsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pine Hill.

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