Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Preston Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg
Tract 51660000204 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 4,935 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51660000204 covers part of the Preston Heights area of Harrisonburg, VA, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,935 residents. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,469
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$68,998
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region
Centroid at 38.4429, -78.8617 · click any tract to drill in
Why Preston Heights scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5
How Preston Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Preston Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Preston Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Harrisonburg City average of 40.7%.
Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Harrisonburg City average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,259, close to the Harrisonburg average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $68,998. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51660000204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000204?
Census tract 51660000204 in the Preston Heights neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51660000204?
Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000204?
26.2% of residents in tract 51660000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 56th, minority 66th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 51660000204 considered part of Preston Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000204 fall within Preston Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51660000204 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51660000204 compare to Harrisonburg overall?
Tract 51660000204 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Skyline Area
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51660000203
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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