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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bridlewood Eviction Risk: Lower , Short Pump

Tract 51087200149 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,066 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51087200149 covers part of the Bridlewood area of Short Pump, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,066 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 27% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,985
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$136,210

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bridlewood
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Short Pump
Moderate
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Short Pump and the region

Centroid at 37.6686, -77.6009 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bridlewood scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Short Pump
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,934 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Short Pump
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Short Pump
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Short Pump
3.7

How Bridlewood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bridlewood risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2001493.1Short Pumpparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bridlewood

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 47.8% across Henrico County. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 13.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.9/10.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $136,210, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,934, close to the Short Pump average. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200149

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200149?

Census tract 51087200149 in the Bridlewood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200149?

Median gross rent is $1,934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200149?

6.8% of residents in tract 51087200149 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,066.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200149?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 46th, minority 65th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200149 considered part of Bridlewood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200149 fall within Bridlewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51087200149 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51087200149 compare to Short Pump overall?

Tract 51087200149 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Short Pump at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Short Pump eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Short Pump

Top eight tracts in Short Pump ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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