Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Barrington Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Short Pump

Tract 51087200143 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,212 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 51087200143 in the Barrington Valley area of Short Pump, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%

Tract context

Occupied units766

Renter share3.8%

SVI overall0.02

Poverty rate0.5%

Median income$203,654

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Short Pump and the region

Centroid at 37.6411, -77.6028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Barrington Valley scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Short Pump

4.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

0.5% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Short Pump

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Short Pump

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Short Pump

3.7

How Barrington Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Barrington Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.8%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
4.8%Food insecurity
3.1%SNAP enrollment
3.5%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
12.0%Frequent mental distress
20.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Barrington Valley

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 4.8% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.3 points below the Henrico County average of 4.3. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200143

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200143?

Census tract 51087200143 in the Barrington Valley neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200143?

0.5% of residents in tract 51087200143 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,212.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200143?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 11th, minority 64th, housing 2th.

Is tract 51087200143 considered part of Barrington Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200143 fall within Barrington Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51087200143 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200143 compare to Short Pump overall?

Tract 51087200143 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Short Pump at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Short Pump eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Short Pump

Top eight tracts in Short Pump ranked by composite eviction-risk score.