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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Barrington Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Short Pump

Tract 51087200144 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,341 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51087200144 sits in the Barrington Valley area of Short Pump eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,341 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 38% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,632
Renter share77.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$104,239

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Barrington Valley
Very Low
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 9 tracts In Short Pump
Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Short Pump and the region

Centroid at 37.6485, -77.6034 · click any tract to drill in

Why Barrington Valley scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Short Pump
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,710 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Short Pump
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Short Pump
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Short Pump
3.7

How Barrington Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Barrington Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2001443.1Short Pumpparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Barrington Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Barrington Valley

This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200144

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200144?

Census tract 51087200144 in the Barrington Valley neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200144?

Median gross rent is $1,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200144?

6.0% of residents in tract 51087200144 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,341.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200144?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 15th, minority 70th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200144 considered part of Barrington Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200144 fall within Barrington Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51087200144 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51087200144 compare to Short Pump overall?

Tract 51087200144 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Short Pump at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Short Pump eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Short Pump

Top eight tracts in Short Pump ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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