1 census tracts · pop 3,229 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Chestnut Hill is a one-tract neighborhood of Lynchburg, VA, population 3,229. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, lower than the Lynchburg rate of 31.0%. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2/10. At $882 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Lynchburg commands.
The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 187 evictions logged in this tract.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 13.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 7.7% in 2016, is well off that peak.
That places it #19 of 22 neighborhoods in Lynchburg. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mayfield and Peakland.
Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Hill vs LynchburgHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport21%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Chestnut Hill
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
187Total filings (sum)
10.00%Avg annual filing rate
13.5%Peak year (2013)
7.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Hill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.8%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
7.9%No health insurance
29.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Chestnut Hill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hill?
Chestnut Hill scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chestnut Hill compare to Lynchburg overall?
Chestnut Hill scores 0.9 points lower than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $882 vs $1,073.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chestnut Hill?
Average gross rent in Chestnut Hill is $882/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chestnut Hill residents are renters?
39% of Chestnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 3,229 residents.
Q5
Is Chestnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?
Chestnut Hill sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Chestnut Hill for landlords?
Chestnut Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hill?
Chestnut Hill has 2,775 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
