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Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,229 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Chestnut Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lynchburg with 1 census tract and a population of 3,229 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 24% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $882/month sits 18% lower than the Lynchburg citywide average ($1,073).

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Hill vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.5% -24%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$882 -18%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$68,266 +14%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
7.9% -55%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
39.1% -24%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Chestnut Hill scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Chestnut Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Chestnut Hill: 3.83.8Chestnut HillNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680001000 3.8 3,229 23% $882
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 21%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chestnut Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 187Total filings (sum)
  • 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 7.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut Hill compare to Lynchburg overall?

Chestnut Hill scores 0.2 points lower than Lynchburg overall (4/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $882 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut Hill?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Hill is $882/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut Hill residents are renters?

39% of Chestnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 3,229 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Hill sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut Hill for landlords?

Chestnut Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill has 2,775 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Hill.

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