Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
New Towne Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000902 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,203 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 51680000902 sits in the New Towne area of Lynchburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. Population here is 3,203. Cost burden runs 29% here against 43.8% across Lynchburg City.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share75.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$66,970
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3811, -79.2137 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Towne scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How New Towne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Towne
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,108, close to the Lynchburg average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680000902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000902?
Census tract 51680000902 in the New Towne neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680000902?
Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000902?
11.8% of residents in tract 51680000902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,203.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 22th, minority 58th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 51680000902 considered part of New Towne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000902 fall within New Towne (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51680000902 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51680000902 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680000902 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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