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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Bel-Aire Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710006601 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 657 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51710006601 covers Bel-Aire in Norfolk in Virginia. Home to 657 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #53,110 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,120 a month while the average household earns $106,750 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 30% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units280
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$106,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bel-Aire
Moderate
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Very Low
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#791 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9225, -76.2303 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bel-Aire scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,120 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Bel-Aire compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bel-Aire risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 006601Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 30.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.2%Peak (2011)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bel-Aire

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 60 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 30.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.2% of renter households in 2011.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006601?

Census tract 51710006601 in the Bel-Aire neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006601?

Median gross rent is $2,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006601?

3.4% of residents in tract 51710006601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 657.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 34th, minority 43th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006601 considered part of Bel-Aire?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006601 fall within Bel-Aire (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.10% of renter households, peaking at 29.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006601 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006601 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006601 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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