Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

Blackwell Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,626 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Blackwell is a white-black neighborhood in Richmond with 1 census tract and a population of 3,626 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,495/month sits 9% higher than the Richmond citywide average ($1,372).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Blackwell vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.1% +55%

Richmond: 31.1%

Average gross rent

$1,495 +9%

Richmond: $1,372

Average HH income

$57,114 -9%

Richmond: $62,671

Poverty rate

9.9% -47%

Richmond: 18.8%

Renter share

95.5% +69%

Richmond: 56.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blackwell and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Blackwell scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

96% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

9.9% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Risk score comparison

Blackwell vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Blackwell

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51760061002	4.3	3,626	48%	$1,495

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 1%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 16%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blackwell

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.0%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
7.5%No health insurance
23.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Blackwell

What is the eviction-risk score for Blackwell?

Blackwell scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Blackwell compare to Richmond overall?

Blackwell scores 0.4 points lower than Richmond overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,495 vs $1,372.

What is the average rent in Blackwell?

Average gross rent in Blackwell is $1,495/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Blackwell residents are renters?

96% of Blackwell households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 3,626 residents.

Is Blackwell a high social-vulnerability area?

Blackwell sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Blackwell for landlords?

Blackwell carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Blackwell?

Blackwell has 3,647 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blackwell

5.6 Oak Grove 2 tracts · pop 8,199 4.2 Union Hill 2 tracts · pop 5,534 5.2 Oregon Hill 2 tracts · pop 4,367 6.2 Carver 2 tracts · pop 5,315 5.8 Fairmount 2 tracts · pop 6,364 4.3 The Fan 4 tracts · pop 13,325

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blackwell.

4.3 Chesterfield Court 1 tracts · pop 2,637 4.3 Union Hill 2 tracts · pop 5,534 4.3 Worthington Farms 1 tracts · pop 6,607 4.2 Shockoe Slip 1 tracts · pop 2,229 4.4 Fulton Hill 1 tracts · pop 1,815 4.4 Forest Hill Farms 1 tracts · pop 5,380

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