Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
The Fan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760041100 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,668 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51760041100 is a census tract in the The Fan area of Richmond, VA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,668. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Richmond City average of 50.2%.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,954
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$73,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5486, -77.4667 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Fan scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,574 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How The Fan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 316Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2014)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Fan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Fan
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 316 filings here across 4 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,574, 15% above the Richmond average. Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 9.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760041100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760041100?
Census tract 51760041100 in the The Fan neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760041100?
Median gross rent is $1,574/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760041100?
25.8% of residents in tract 51760041100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760041100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 1th, minority 37th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 51760041100 considered part of The Fan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760041100 fall within The Fan (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760041100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 316 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760041100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.56% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760041100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760041100 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760041100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760041100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Washington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oregon Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pinehurts
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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