Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Roanoke

Tract 51770002700 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 5,086 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51770002700 covers part of the Buena Vista area of Roanoke, VA, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,086 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 35% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units1,844

Renter share53.1%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate18.1%

Median income$54,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2647, -79.9221 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buena Vista scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

18.1% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,046 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Buena Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
54%Grade C
6%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.5%Housing insecurity
10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
20.4%Food insecurity
19.4%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
11.7%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
37.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 42.8% across Roanoke City. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Roanoke City average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,046, close to the Roanoke average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $54,906. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770002700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770002700?

Census tract 51770002700 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770002700?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770002700?

18.1% of residents in tract 51770002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,086.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 63th, minority 43th, housing 28th.

Is tract 51770002700 considered part of Buena Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770002700 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770002700 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770002700 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.