Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Kenwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Roanoke

Tract 51770000602 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 3,480 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51770000602 sits in the Kenwood area of Roanoke eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 3,480 residents. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 28% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units1,803

Renter share56.6%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate10.9%

Median income$56,118

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2885, -79.9028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kenwood scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

10.9% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,217 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Kenwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
26%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
16.6%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
10.9%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
34.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kenwood

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against Roanoke City at 42.8%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,217, 22% above the Roanoke average. Against the Roanoke City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Roanoke. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $56,118.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770000602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770000602?

Census tract 51770000602 in the Kenwood neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770000602?

Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770000602?

10.9% of residents in tract 51770000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,480.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770000602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 57th, minority 40th, housing 77th.

Is tract 51770000602 considered part of Kenwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770000602 fall within Kenwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770000602 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770000602 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770000602 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770000602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.