Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Stafford Courthouse Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51179010105 · Stafford County, VA · pop 8,933 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Stafford Courthouse
Census tract 51179010105 covers part of Stafford Courthouse, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,933 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,602
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$155,060
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford Courthouse and the region
Centroid at 38.4207, -77.3747 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stafford Courthouse scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,209 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
3.4
How Stafford Courthouse compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 293Total filings over 2 yrs
- 38.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.2%Peak (2016)
- 152Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stafford Courthouse
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 293 filings here across 2 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Stafford County average of 4.5.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 37.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 38.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $155,060, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010105?
Census tract 51179010105 in Stafford Courthouse scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010105?
Median gross rent is $2,209/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010105?
1.1% of residents in tract 51179010105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,933.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 23th, minority 70th, housing 0th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 293 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.28% of renter households, peaking at 37.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51179010105 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51179010105 compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?
Tract 51179010105 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Stafford Courthouse at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stafford Courthouse; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Stafford Courthouse
Top eight tracts in Stafford Courthouse ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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