Neighborhood · Virginia Beach, VA

Green Run Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 23,424 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 1.4–4.6

Green Run is a white-black neighborhood in Virginia Beach with 5 census tracts and a population of 23,424 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,626/month sits 5% lower than the Virginia Beach citywide average ($1,714).

Risk score

2.7

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Green Run vs Virginia Beach How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.0% +37%

Virginia Beach: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$1,626 -5%

Virginia Beach: $1,714

Average HH income

$80,068 -12%

Virginia Beach: $90,685

Poverty rate

10.3% +23%

Virginia Beach: 8.4%

Renter share

37.5% +8%

Virginia Beach: 34.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.4–4.6

Why Green Run scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

10.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–7.5 across tracts

2.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.2 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

Green Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Green Run?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.2 points from 1.4 to 4.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

4.6 3.3 3.1 2.4 1.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Green Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51810045810	4.6	2,763	30%	$965
51810046013	3.3	4,825	68%	$1,758
51810045405	3.1	4,414	62%	$1,495
51810045809	2.4	6,054	44%	$1,674
51810045429	1.4	5,368	16%	$1,899

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 62%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Green Run

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

529Total filings (sum)
20.62%Avg annual filing rate
26.7%Peak year (2016)
20.62%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Green Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.6%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility shutoff threat
17.1%Food insecurity
13.9%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
29.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Green Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Green Run?

Green Run scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Green Run compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Green Run scores 1.1 points lower than Virginia Beach overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,626 vs $1,714.

What is the average rent in Green Run?

Average gross rent in Green Run is $1,626/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Green Run residents are renters?

38% of Green Run households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Virginia Beach). The neighborhood has 23,424 residents.

Is Green Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Green Run sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Green Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Green Run is census tract 51810045810 (score 4.6/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.4 to 4.6, a spread of 3.2 points.

How safe is Green Run for landlords?

Green Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Virginia Beach as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Green Run?

Green Run has 22,943 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Green Run

2.1 Wynd Crest 5 tracts · pop 18,622 3.4 Kings Arm 3 tracts · pop 13,508 1.6 Landstown 2 tracts · pop 11,443 2.5 Malibu 2 tracts · pop 5,588 1.8 Bellamy Plantation 2 tracts · pop 10,946 3.1 Pocahontas Village 5 tracts · pop 17,621

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Virginia Beach

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Green Run.

2.7 Lake View 4 tracts · pop 12,374 2.7 Aragona Village 2 tracts · pop 7,371 2.6 Chesapeake Beach 2 tracts · pop 8,173 2.6 East Beach 1 tracts · pop 2,934 2.6 Brigadoon 3 tracts · pop 14,516 2.6 Malibu 2 tracts · pop 5,588

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