Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Thalia Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045603 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 2,029 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
51810045603 is a census tract in the Thalia Manor area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,254
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$67,903
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8415, -76.1256 · click any tract to drill in
Why Thalia Manor scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,666 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Thalia Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 86Total filings over 1 yrs
- 10.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2016)
- 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Thalia Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Thalia Manor
Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 86 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 10.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045603?
Census tract 51810045603 in the Thalia Manor neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045603?
Median gross rent is $1,666/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045603?
6.4% of residents in tract 51810045603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,029.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 11th, minority 66th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045603 considered part of Thalia Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045603 fall within Thalia Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 86 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.12% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045603 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045603 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045603 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brigadoon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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