1 census tracts · pop 3,903 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10
· range 6.3–6.3
Heritage Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Winchester, VA, population 3,903. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against a Winchester baseline of 32.2%, about a quarter of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,423, 8% above the Winchester average of $1,315. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Winchester, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $71,404.
59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heritage Hills vs WinchesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heritage Hills
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
16.8%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility shutoff threat
20.4%Food insecurity
16.7%SNAP enrollment
15.8%No health insurance
35.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Heritage Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Hills?
Heritage Hills scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Heritage Hills compare to Winchester overall?
Heritage Hills scores 0.4 points higher than Winchester overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,423 vs $1,315.
Q3
What is the average rent in Heritage Hills?
Average gross rent in Heritage Hills is $1,423/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Heritage Hills residents are renters?
59% of Heritage Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 3,903 residents.
Q5
Is Heritage Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Heritage Hills sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Heritage Hills for landlords?
Heritage Hills carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Hills?
Heritage Hills has 3,992 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.2%), Hispanic / Latino (33.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
