Neighborhood · Winchester, VA

Heritage Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,903 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Heritage Hills is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Winchester with 1 census tract and a population of 3,903 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 27% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,423/month sits 8% higher than the Winchester citywide average ($1,315).

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Heritage Hills vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

26.8% -17%

Winchester: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$1,423 +8%

Winchester: $1,315

Average HH income

$71,404 +10%

Winchester: $64,648

Poverty rate

22.6% +17%

Winchester: 19.3%

Renter share

58.9% +4%

Winchester: 56.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heritage Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Heritage Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

27% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

59% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts

9.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Economic stress

22.6% below poverty line · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Heritage Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Heritage Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51840000101	5.2	3,903	27%	$1,423

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 98%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 82%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heritage Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

16.8%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility shutoff threat
20.4%Food insecurity
16.7%SNAP enrollment
15.8%No health insurance
35.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Heritage Hills

What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Hills?

Heritage Hills scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Heritage Hills compare to Winchester overall?

Heritage Hills scores 1.5 points higher than Winchester overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,423 vs $1,315.

What is the average rent in Heritage Hills?

Average gross rent in Heritage Hills is $1,423/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Heritage Hills residents are renters?

59% of Heritage Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 3,903 residents.

Is Heritage Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Heritage Hills sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Heritage Hills for landlords?

Heritage Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Hills?

Heritage Hills has 3,992 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.2%), Hispanic / Latino (33.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heritage Hills

5.6 Regents Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,207

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heritage Hills.

5 Plainfield Heights 1 tracts · pop 6,007 5.5 Regents Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,207 4.6 College Park 1 tracts · pop 5,388 4 Stonewall Orchard 1 tracts · pop 5,598

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