Neighborhood · Winchester, VA

Stonewall Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,598 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Stonewall Orchard is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Winchester with 1 census tract and a population of 5,598 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,307/month sits 1% lower than the Winchester citywide average ($1,315).

Risk score

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Stonewall Orchard vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.2% +28%

Winchester: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$1,307 -1%

Winchester: $1,315

Average HH income

$87,619 +36%

Winchester: $64,648

Poverty rate

11.0% -43%

Winchester: 19.3%

Renter share

42.2% -25%

Winchester: 56.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stonewall Orchard and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Stonewall Orchard scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

42% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts

9.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Economic stress

11.0% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Stonewall Orchard vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Stonewall Orchard

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51840000202	4	5,598	41%	$1,307

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 71%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Stonewall Orchard

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.9%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
7.2%No health insurance
31.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Stonewall Orchard

What is the eviction-risk score for Stonewall Orchard?

Stonewall Orchard scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Stonewall Orchard compare to Winchester overall?

Stonewall Orchard scores 0.3 points higher than Winchester overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,307 vs $1,315.

What is the average rent in Stonewall Orchard?

Average gross rent in Stonewall Orchard is $1,307/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Stonewall Orchard residents are renters?

42% of Stonewall Orchard households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 5,598 residents.

Is Stonewall Orchard a high social-vulnerability area?

Stonewall Orchard sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Stonewall Orchard for landlords?

Stonewall Orchard carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Stonewall Orchard?

Stonewall Orchard has 5,648 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.7%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Stonewall Orchard

5.6 Regents Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,207

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Stonewall Orchard.

4.6 College Park 1 tracts · pop 5,388 5 Plainfield Heights 1 tracts · pop 6,007 5.2 Heritage Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,903 5.5 Regents Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,207

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