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Neighborhood · Winchester, VA

Stonewall Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,598 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Stonewall Orchard is a one-tract neighborhood of Winchester, VA and houses 5,598 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

Cost burden runs 41% against 32.2% citywide, putting Stonewall Orchard 9.0% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.7/10. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Winchester, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, College Park and Plainfield Heights score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,307, close to the Winchester average.

42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Stonewall Orchard vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.2% +28%
Winchester: 32.2%
Average gross rent
$1,307 -1%
Winchester: $1,315
Average HH income
$87,619 +36%
Winchester: $64,648
Poverty rate
11.0% -43%
Winchester: 19.3%
Renter share
42.2% -25%
Winchester: 56.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stonewall Orchard and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Stonewall Orchard scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
11.0% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Stonewall Orchard vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Stonewall Orchard score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Stonewall OrchardNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Stonewall Orchard

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51840000202 4.7 5,598 41% $1,307
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Stonewall Orchard

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Stonewall Orchard

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Stonewall Orchard?

Stonewall Orchard scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Stonewall Orchard compare to Winchester overall?

Stonewall Orchard scores 1.2 points lower than Winchester overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,307 vs $1,315.
Q3

What is the average rent in Stonewall Orchard?

Average gross rent in Stonewall Orchard is $1,307/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Stonewall Orchard residents are renters?

42% of Stonewall Orchard households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 5,598 residents.
Q5

Is Stonewall Orchard a high social-vulnerability area?

Stonewall Orchard sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Stonewall Orchard for landlords?

Stonewall Orchard carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Stonewall Orchard?

Stonewall Orchard has 5,648 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.7%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Stonewall Orchard

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Stonewall Orchard.

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