1 census tracts · pop 5,388 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.5–5.5
College Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Winchester, VA, population 5,388. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 32.2% citywide, putting College Park 21.7% over its own city.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
This is a renter market: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.2/10.
At $1,424 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Winchester commands. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Winchester, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $63,382.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
College Park vs WinchesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in College Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
16.1%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
19.2%SNAP enrollment
14.4%No health insurance
38.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About College Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for College Park?
College Park scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does College Park compare to Winchester overall?
College Park scores 0.4 points lower than Winchester overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,424 vs $1,315.
Q3
What is the average rent in College Park?
Average gross rent in College Park is $1,424/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of College Park residents are renters?
68% of College Park households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 5,388 residents.
Q5
Is College Park a high social-vulnerability area?
College Park sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is College Park for landlords?
College Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of College Park?
College Park has 5,567 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.9%), Hispanic / Latino (22.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
