Neighborhood · Winchester, VA

College Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,388 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

College Park is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Winchester with 1 census tract and a population of 5,388 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,424/month sits 8% higher than the Winchester citywide average ($1,315).

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

College Park vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.9% +67%

Winchester: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$1,424 +8%

Winchester: $1,315

Average HH income

$63,382 -2%

Winchester: $64,648

Poverty rate

12.4% -36%

Winchester: 19.3%

Renter share

67.5% +20%

Winchester: 56.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across College Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why College Park scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

68% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts

9.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Economic stress

12.4% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

College Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in College Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51840000301	4.6	5,388	54%	$1,424

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 89%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in College Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

16.1%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
19.2%SNAP enrollment
14.4%No health insurance
38.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About College Park

What is the eviction-risk score for College Park?

College Park scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does College Park compare to Winchester overall?

College Park scores 0.9 points higher than Winchester overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,424 vs $1,315.

What is the average rent in College Park?

Average gross rent in College Park is $1,424/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of College Park residents are renters?

68% of College Park households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 5,388 residents.

Is College Park a high social-vulnerability area?

College Park sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is College Park for landlords?

College Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of College Park?

College Park has 5,567 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.9%), Hispanic / Latino (22.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near College Park

5.6 Regents Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,207

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to College Park.

5 Plainfield Heights 1 tracts · pop 6,007 4 Stonewall Orchard 1 tracts · pop 5,598 5.2 Heritage Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,903 5.5 Regents Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,207

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