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Newcastle, Washington eviction risk overview
City brief · 12,989 residents

Newcastle, WA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

King County · Population 12,989

In 2026
Risk score
6.9
ELEVATED

79th percentile, Washington.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.8 Now6.9
7.0 2.3 1976 · score 2.4 1977 · score 2.4 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 2.4 1981 · score 2.4 1982 · score 2.5 1983 · score 2.5 1984 · score 2.4 1985 · score 2.4 1986 · score 2.4 1987 · score 2.3 1988 · score 2.7 1989 · score 2.6 1990 · score 2.7 1991 · score 2.8 1992 · score 3.2 1993 · score 3.2 1994 · score 3.2 1995 · score 3.3 1996 · score 3.3 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.4 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.4 2002 · score 3.5 2003 · score 3.4 2004 · score 3.4 2005 · score 3.5 2006 · score 3.5 2007 · score 3.5 2008 · score 4.0 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.5 2012 · score 4.4 2013 · score 4.3 2014 · score 4.3 2015 · score 4.3 2016 · score 4.5 2017 · score 4.6 2018 · score 5.0 2019 · score 5.1 2020 · score 6.7 2021 · score 7.0 2022 · score 6.8 2023 · score 6.6 2024 · score 6.7 2025 · score 6.9 2026 · score 6.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.9 Regional 7.9 State 6.0 Economic 4.6 Supply 8.6 Rent Control 6.0 Eviction 5.9 Tenant 7.6 Housing 4.2 6.9 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +51.7% (2024)
    7.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.9
  3. State political climate
    Washington legislature & governorship
    6.0
  4. Economic stress
    3.1% poverty · 5.1% unemp.
    4.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,369 average · 39.0% renters
    8.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    30.6% of income on rent
    6.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    149 days filing → judgment
    5.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    39.0% renters
    7.6
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newcastle and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Newcastle compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in King County
Moderate
#30 of 60 cities
Rank in county, 51st percentileLowHigh
#30 of 60 cities in King County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Washington
Elevated
#178 of 637 cities
Rank in state, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#178 of 637 cities in Washington for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Newcastle risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Newcastle: 6.96.9NewcastleThis cityCounty: 7.37.3Countyavg in countyState: 7.07.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.9
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.9/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 149d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,369/mo. A contested eviction takes 149 days and costs $8,368–$19,630 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 39.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 12,989 residents, 39.0% rent. 31% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 3.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.9 and 7.9 (Dem margin +51.7% (2024)). State climate at 6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.9, housing court bias 4.2, rent-control risk 6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.6. Supply constraint: 8.6. The numbers behind those: 3.1% poverty, 5.1% unemployment, 31% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Newcastle sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Tacoma, WA · 161d · ~$13.7k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.8 Tacoma Bellevue, WA · 172d · ~$15.2k all-in ($88/day) · score 7.3 Bellevue Kent, WA · 173d · ~$15.3k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.2 Kent Everett, WA · 146d · ~$14.1k all-in ($96/day) · score 6.9 Everett Renton, WA · 170d · ~$14.7k all-in ($86/day) · score 7.1 Renton Federal Way, WA · 167d · ~$13.5k all-in ($81/day) · score 7.1 Federal Way Kirkland, WA · 156d · ~$14.5k all-in ($93/day) · score 7.1 Kirkland Auburn, WA · 170d · ~$13.2k all-in ($77/day) · score 7 Auburn Redmond, WA · 147d · ~$14.6k all-in ($99/day) · score 6.7 Redmond Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Newcastle
Newcastle · 149d · ~$14.0k all-in ($94/day) · score 6.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Newcastle, WA

Landlording in Newcastle, Washington, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Newcastle is a city of 12,989 residents where 39.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 30.6% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,369/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Newcastle eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Newcastle closes 149 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Newcastle's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Newcastle runs $8,368 to $19,630 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 149 days of typical timeline and $2,369/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.6/10 in Newcastle, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Washington, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Newcastle: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Washington's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $19,630 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Newcastle

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 149 days and roughly $19,630 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $7,852 to $11,778 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under HB 1236 + RCW 59.18.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is "just cause" eviction in Washington?

Just cause eviction means you cannot terminate a tenancy without a legally recognized reason, even for month-to-month leases. Reasons include non-payment of rent, lease violations, property damage, or intent to sell/remodel (with specific conditions). You can't simply decide not to renew a lease without a valid cause.

Q2

Can I charge late fees in Newcastle, WA?

Yes, you can charge late fees in Washington. However, they must be reasonable and clearly stated in your lease agreement. Excessive late fees can be challenged in court. Typically, a flat fee or a small percentage of the rent is considered reasonable.

Q3

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Newcastle?

You have 21 calendar days from the date the tenant moves out and returns possession of the property to you. You must either return the full deposit or provide a written, itemized statement of deductions. Missing this deadline can result in you owing the tenant the full deposit back, plus potential damages and attorney fees.

Q4

What if a tenant has an emotional support animal?

Under federal and state fair housing laws, emotional support animals (ESAs) are not considered pets. You generally cannot deny a tenant with an ESA or charge a pet deposit for them, provided they have proper documentation from a healthcare professional. You can, however, hold the tenant responsible for any damages caused by the ESA.

Q5

Is rent control an issue in Newcastle?

Currently, there is no statewide rent control in Washington, and Newcastle does not have its own rent control ordinances. However, the risk of future rent control measures is moderate, as indicated by our rent-control-risk sub-score of 6/10. Always stay informed about potential legislative changes, especially at the state level. Our Washington rent control rules page has more details.

Q6

Can I screen for criminal history in Newcastle?

Yes, you can screen for criminal history. However, your criteria must be consistent and non-discriminatory. You should avoid blanket bans on all criminal records. Instead, focus on specific types of convictions (e.g., violent crimes, drug manufacturing) and consider the recency and relevance of the conviction to tenancy. Consult an attorney to ensure your policy complies with fair housing guidelines.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.9/10 places Newcastle in the 79th percentile of Washington cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.